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Near-Earth Object

2024 AV2

NASA ID: 54419698

Safe

2024 AV2 will pass Earth on 31 December 2026 at a distance of 31.83 lunar distances (LD) - about 12,235,921 km - travelling at 21,993 km/h. Its estimated diameter is between 12 and 28 metres, roughly the size of a double-decker bus (around 11 m long). NASA does not classify it as potentially hazardous.

Close Approach Date

31 December 2026

In 194 days

Miss Distance

31.83 LD

12,235,921 km

Moon PHA limit

32 times the Moon's distance from Earth

Velocity

21,993 km/h

ISS

0.8 times the orbital speed of the International Space Station

Est. Diameter

12–28 m

Absolute Magnitude

H = 26.64

The brightness measure astronomers use to estimate size

Hazard Classification

Not Hazardous

The real orbit in 3D

The actual path of 2024 AV2 around the Sun, computed from JPL orbital elements. Drag to rotate, scroll to zoom, and use the time controls to run the orbit forwards or back.

Every recorded pass

Each dot is one close approach of 2024 AV2 to Earth between 1990 and 2050, from JPL's records. Lower means closer: a dot under the dashed line passed nearer than the Moon. The orange dot is the approach on this page.

1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 1 LDMoon's orbit 10 LD today 3 Jun 1990 - 38.46 LD5 Jun 1991 - 28.56 LD5 Jun 1992 - 21.75 LD7 Jun 1993 - 18.45 LD8 Jun 1994 - 17.99 LD9 Jun 1995 - 19.53 LD9 Jun 1996 - 22.78 LD11 Jun 1997 - 28.27 LD13 Jun 1998 - 35.6 LD30 Dec 2021 - 29.72 LD31 Dec 2022 - 14.98 LD1 Jan 2024 - 3.78 LD31 Dec 2024 - 6.72 LD30 Dec 2025 - 17.85 LD31 Dec 2026 - 31.83 LD (this approach)6 Jun 2047 - 29.58 LD3 Jun 2048 - 21.86 LD1 Jun 2049 - 21.25 LD31 May 2050 - 28.92 LD Close approach date Miss distance (LD, log scale)

Size Comparison

Asteroid 12–28 m Double-decker bus 11 m long

Reading the Numbers

  • A lunar distance (LD) is the average gap between Earth and the Moon, about 384,400 km. It is the standard yardstick for close approaches. Read more →
  • Diameter estimates come from brightness. A dark surface reflects less light than a bright one, so the true size can sit anywhere in the quoted range. Read more →
  • Potentially hazardous is a watch-list label based on size and orbital proximity. It does not mean an impact is expected. Read more →

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