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Near-Earth Object

2024 XP16

NASA ID: 54506551

Safe

2024 XP16 will pass Earth on 30 October 2026 at a distance of 44.58 lunar distances (LD) - about 17,135,931 km - travelling at 11,590 km/h. Its estimated diameter is between 6 and 13 metres, roughly the size of a double-decker bus (around 11 m long). NASA does not classify it as potentially hazardous.

Close Approach Date

30 October 2026

In 131 days

Miss Distance

44.58 LD

17,135,931 km

Moon PHA limit

45 times the Moon's distance from Earth

Velocity

11,590 km/h

ISS

0.4 times the orbital speed of the International Space Station

Est. Diameter

6–13 m

Absolute Magnitude

H = 28.28

The brightness measure astronomers use to estimate size

Hazard Classification

Not Hazardous

The real orbit in 3D

The actual path of 2024 XP16 around the Sun, computed from JPL orbital elements. Drag to rotate, scroll to zoom, and use the time controls to run the orbit forwards or back.

Every recorded pass

Each dot is one close approach of 2024 XP16 to Earth between 1914 and 2099, from JPL's records. Lower means closer: a dot under the dashed line passed nearer than the Moon. The orange dot is the approach on this page.

1950 2000 2050 2100 1 LDMoon's orbit 10 LD today 2 Jun 1914 - 1.85 LD7 Dec 1918 - 14.24 LD12 Dec 1919 - 31.3 LD30 May 1964 - 15.85 LD4 Jun 1965 - 24.71 LD7 Dec 1969 - 20.22 LD11 Dec 1970 - 20.56 LD30 May 2018 - 14.45 LD3 Jun 2019 - 21.71 LD7 Nov 2023 - 38.12 LD30 Dec 2023 - 38.61 LD8 Dec 2024 - 0.42 LD9 Dec 2025 - 21.42 LD29 Apr 2032 - 38.19 LD12 Jun 2032 - 37.77 LD19 May 2033 - 15.59 LD17 May 2034 - 9.36 LD13 May 2035 - 35.66 LD11 Dec 2098 - 30.89 LD9 Dec 2099 - 2.64 LD Close approach date Miss distance (LD, log scale)

Size Comparison

Asteroid 6–13 m Double-decker bus 11 m long

Reading the Numbers

  • A lunar distance (LD) is the average gap between Earth and the Moon, about 384,400 km. It is the standard yardstick for close approaches. Read more →
  • Diameter estimates come from brightness. A dark surface reflects less light than a bright one, so the true size can sit anywhere in the quoted range. Read more →
  • Potentially hazardous is a watch-list label based on size and orbital proximity. It does not mean an impact is expected. Read more →

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